India’s Big Oil Bet: Russian Crude Will Keep Flowing Even If US Lifts Sanctions

By: Mayank Singh

On: Monday, May 18, 2026 8:14 PM

Indian refiners
Google News
Follow Us

Indian refiners: India will continue purchasing Russian crude oil regardless of whether the United States extends sanctions waivers, with decisions driven strictly by commercial viability and energy security needs, a senior Petroleum Ministry official confirmed on Monday. Speaking at a media briefing, Sujata Sharma, Joint Secretary in the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas, emphasized that India’s sourcing strategy remains independent of shifting geopolitical mandates. “We have been purchasing from Russia earlier… before waiver also, during waiver also, and now also,” Sharma stated, assuring that the expiration of the temporary US waiver on May 16 would not disrupt India’s domestic supply or alter its established procurement channels.

Commercial Viability Dictates Sourcing Strategy

The official remarks underscore India’s pragmatic approach to managing its energy basket. Sharma highlighted that the country’s crude sourcing strategy is guided primarily by pricing, commercial sense, and supply considerations rather than external political pressures. Thanks to robust long-term contracts secured with various global suppliers, the ministry assured that there is absolutely no shortage of crude availability for domestic refiners.

The temporary US sanctions waiver, which recently expired, was originally introduced by the US Treasury Department to stabilize volatile global energy markets following disruptions from conflicts in the Middle East. However, New Delhi maintains that the presence or absence of this waiver will not impact its import volumes.

A Cornerstone of India’s Energy Basket

Since the 2022 invasion of Ukraine and subsequent Western sanctions on Moscow, Russian crude has transformed into a cornerstone of India’s energy imports. Stripped of traditional European markets, Russia offered steep discounts that Indian refiners quickly capitalized on.

Indian refiners
Sujata Sharma

While Western nations have avoided directly sanctioning Russian oil to prevent a global supply shock, Washington has progressively tightened the screws. Recent US enforcement actions have targeted:

  • Major Russian energy entities like Rosneft and Lukoil.

  • Specific shipping vessels violating price caps.

  • Financial channels and maritime insurance networks facilitating Russian exports.

High Volumes and Stricter Compliance Ahead

Despite these hurdles, Indian refiners have successfully navigated the restrictions. By utilizing non-sanctioned third-party sellers, alternative vessels, and compliant payment routes, trade has continued uninterrupted.

Indian refiners
Indian refiners

Data from energy intelligence firm Kpler indicates that Indian imports of Russian oil are projected to average nearly 1.9 million barrels per day in May 2026, hovering close to record highs. Market analysts suggest that while India is highly unlikely to scale back its Russian oil intake anytime soon, domestic refiners will face tighter documentation requirements and more stringent compliance checks moving forward to avoid secondary Western sanctions.

Also Read: US-Iran Tensions Escalate as Trump Renews War Threats Amid Mil-Tech Mobilization

Mayank Singh

Mayank Singh Yadav is a seasoned media professional with over five years of experience in digital newsrooms and broadcast environments. Currently managing the international affairs beat at Punjab Kesari English, he specializes in translating complex global geopolitics into clear, engaging digital content. Throughout his career, Mayank has demonstrated strong editorial judgment and the ability to perform under tight deadlines. His experience spans managing intense content workflows, coordinating field teams, and producing multimedia stories. Having previously honed his skills at news networks including News1 India and Samachar Nation, he is adept at bridging the gap between major global events and modern digital audiences.