Chander Mohan Source- social media
Editorial

Iran-Israel Ceasefire: A Temporary Halt or Lasting Peace?

The Middle East succumbing to American dominance?

Chander Mohan

US President Donald Trump has announced that Iran and Israel have reached a ceasefire, but the two countries are still firing missiles at each other. The history of the Middle East shows that peace talks here remain fragile. It is easy to start a war, difficult to end. Iran fired 12 missiles at a US military base in Qatar, but the US was told beforehand. It's a sign that something has cooked behind the scenes. If this is true, Trump seems to have escaped the fate of many U.S. presidents before him. Yet the Middle East has been the graveyard of prestige of many U.S. presidents. But it is not known whether Israel's devil Prime Minister Netanyahu will now desist from mischief. Trump has also said that he is 'very unhappy' with Netanyahu.

Israeli journalist Attila Somfalvi has also questioned "Will Trump be able to straighten out Netanyahu?" and further comments that "whether or not the ceasefire lasts and whether West Asia becomes less entrenched depends on the ability of the President of the United States to stop Netanyahu from using the war for political gains?" It depends on the political need. Trump is angry with Netanyahu, but it is hoped that he has learned a lesson that it is not easy to mess with Iran. Iran is not an ordinary country. It's an old civilization. Iran must have also understood that no country was with them during the crisis. Neither Russia nor China has come, and their nuclear base has collapsed. He may have succeeded in saving his nuclear material, but the entire nuclear program has suffered a lot of setbacks which will not be easy to rebuild. Questions will also be raised on the leadership of Ayatollah Khamenei that in the end he was forced to accept the ceasefire. Their grip will be weakened.

Trump praised the "stamina, courage, and wisdom" of the Iranian and Israeli leadership, but if the ceasefire lasts, it is a success of Trump's leadership. It is also a naked display of America's hard power. No country can match the United States. The U.S. is pointing out that international law is what the U.S. says. They can enter any country and bomb, no one is going to ask. He can send his B-2 aircraft and shoot his 30,000-pound bunker-buster bomb anywhere to a depth of 300 feet. America can leisurely violate the sovereignty of any country, no objection can be made. The implications of America's unilateral action must have been understood by all. This is even more worrying today because in the White House in Washington, there are people who do not have any rules. No one is going to ask Donald Trump. It is an old tradition of the Western countries to create a dispute and later find a justification for it, but now if the war really stops, the world will breathe a sigh of relief. If there were fires in the Middle East, there would be a lot of devastation.

Already the world is dealing with two wars, the war in Gaza and the war in Ukraine. It cannot afford a third war and this war could prove to be much more dangerous than the first two wars because Iran is not Gaza that Israel can destroy. This area is a major oil producing area. Only Iran has 10 percent of the world's oil and 15 percent of the gas. Countries like Saudi Arabia, Qatar, UAE, Bahrain are major oil producing countries. The Hormuz Water Corridor passes through Iran, through which 2 million barrels of oil pass daily. Iran or its Houthi organizations could disrupt it. This would have increased the prices of oil worldwide and countries like India would have been badly affected. Donald Trump started as a peacemaker leader, but it was Donald Trump who bombed three Iranian nuclear sites, Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan. The attack on Fordow is significant, as Iran's enrichment plant is located at a depth of 295 in a mountain in Iran. Israel tried to destroy it, but only the United States has the ability to hit so deeply.

Trump claims that all three of Iran's institutions have been wiped out. Why was this attack on Iran? Netanyahu says what is the purpose of stopping Iran from making nuclear bombs. "This step was taken to prevent the world's most dangerous regime from possessing the world's most dangerous weapons," he says dramatically. After becoming Prime Minister for the first time in 1996, Netanyahu said that Iran was making a nuclear bomb. Three decades later, he is repeating the same thing. US Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard has testified before her Congress that Iran is not making bombs. Trump was furious with him, and Tulsi Gabbard revised that Iran could build nuclear weapons "in a few weeks."

That is, the head of America's intelligence agency is still not ready to accept that Iran has a bomb. Then why was it attacked? Netanyahu responds that Iran's nuclear program threatens Israel's existence. But Gaza did not have nuclear weapons, then why was there so much destruction that people are craving for water? Are the children starving? Frequent blockades are erected when relief material comes in.

Hamas attacked and killed 1200 Israeli civilians on October 7, 2023. The incident was condemned worldwide. But since then, Israel has been bombing there to take revenge. More than 55,000 Palestinians have been killed, most of them children. Schools and hospitals have been bombed. Don't these people have a conscience? When Saddam Hussein was eliminated, it was said that Iraq had 'weapons of mass destruction'. By the time the frightened Saddam Hussein was finally captured hiding in the bunker, eight years of war had passed. Thousands were killed and thousands were injured. But in the end, US President Bush had to admit that Iraq does not have weapons of mass destruction. That is, the whole war was fought in vain. Netanyahu is a war monger, but he must have seen that if Tehran was being destroyed, Tel Aviv was not spared.

Journalists from Tel Aviv were reporting that Israel's Iron Dome was failing in front of Iran's missiles. The world's misfortune is that Netanyahu is the Prime Minister of Israel. In order to maintain his chair, he keeps some one in peril. That's the problem, not the solution. He is also calling for the overthrow of the regime in Iran. 86-year-old Ayatollah Khamenei became Iran's political and spiritual supreme leader in 1989. Since then, he has been running a fanatical and strict religious regime there. The West wants to remove them, but this is a matter for the people of Iran. Netanyahu's statement that 'Khamenei should cease to exist' is the height of incivility. Israel's prime minister is calling for the assassination of Iran's leader.

We have a lot of interests in this area. Iran is an old friend. We want to use Chahbahar port to reach Afghanistan and Central Asian countries. We have about 8 million people in West Asia who send home 30 billion dollars annually. We don't want the region to be destabilised. Israel, on the other hand, is the only country which has helped us during Operation Sindoor. That is why we did not criticise anyone and if there is a ceasefire, India will heave a sigh of relief," he said. Iran's weakness is that no major country stands with it in the same way as America stands with Israel. Putin says he wants to stay out of war because Israel is home to two million Russians. China stays away from such troubles.

Its focus is on increasing its economic power, while the US needs a country that it can demonize its power by demonstrating its power, but if there is peace now and Trump survives the 'foreign stupid wars' of the presidents before him, then he must be praised. Like a child who insists on ice cream, he is trying to get the Nobel Prize, if the ceasefire is permanent, then maybe the Nobel Committee will agree to give it now.